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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 14 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +1.52σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 107 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 10 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | 13 | 3rd | 13222644 |
| 2026-05-02 | 8 | 1st | 26333741 |
| 2026-03-07 | 1 | 2nd | 24263335 |
| 2026-02-28 | 2 | 3rd | 10112636 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-02-14 |
| 2 |
| 3rd |
| 282640 |
| 2026-01-31 | 22 | 2nd | 4264041 |
| 2025-08-30 | 6 | 2nd | 9262840 |
| 2025-07-19 | 2 | 1st | 26324042 |
| 2025-07-05 | 1 | 2nd | 1263538 |
| 2025-06-28 | 3 | 3rd | 7122631 |
| 2025-06-07 | 12 | 4th | 2152326 |
| 2025-03-15 | 7 | 3rd | 492641 |
| 2025-01-25 | 9 | 3rd | 17202636 |
| 2024-11-23 | — | 2nd | 9262933 |