Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +1.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 34 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 39 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 17 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 18 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 39 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 39 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 2 | 4th | 23272839 |
| 2026-09-26 | 9 | 3rd | 15253940 |
| 2026-07-25 | 6 | 4th | 16173439 |
| 2026-06-13 | 21 | 3rd | 6133943 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 39 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 3 |
| 4th |
| 571139 |
| 2025-12-27 | 34 | 4th | 20283139 |
| 2025-05-03 | 11 | 3rd | 8353941 |
| 2025-02-15 | 1 | 4th | 17232739 |
| 2025-02-08 | 1 | 2nd | 23394142 |
| 2025-02-01 | 8 | 4th | 241239 |
| 2024-12-07 | 3 | 4th | 5233039 |
| 2024-11-16 | 1 | 4th | 7192339 |
| 2024-11-09 | — | 2nd | 18394043 |