Number 2

In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.

14times drawn · chance expected 10 +1.52σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 83% for any number

6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3

17longest completed wait · 96% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 14 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +1.52σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 14 times in 107 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest14 · chance 13.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 1.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

13 18 7 15 23 26

Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-19	4	1st	2 10 32 38
2026-08-22	1	1st	2 7 16 36
2026-08-15	6	1st	2 13 29 36
2026-07-04	2	1st	2 13 29 31

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.