Number 14

In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.

10times drawn · chance expected 10 +0.17σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 27% for any number

9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3

28longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 10 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 10 times in 107 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 3.4
2nd smallest5 · chance 4.6
3rd smallest4 · chance 1.8
4th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

12 4 8 23 24 27

Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 22 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-06-27	3	2nd	12 14 24 29
2026-06-06	1	3rd	2 9 14 23
2026-05-30	18	2nd	5 14 36 40
2026-01-24	11	2nd	10 14 20 41

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.