Number 30

In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.

10times drawn · chance expected 10 +0.17σ

13draws waiting · a wait this long: 33% for any number

9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3

33longest completed wait · 37% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 10 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 10 times in 107 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 13 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.3
2nd smallest1 · chance 2.3
3rd smallest7 · chance 4.6
4th smallest2 · chance 2.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 5 17 23 1 2

Never drawn alongside 19 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 22 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-07-11	33	3rd	17 23 30 38
2025-11-22	1	3rd	10 27 30 42
2025-11-15	7	4th	5 11 13 30
2025-09-27	23	3rd	4 15 30 40

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.