Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 11 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +0.51σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 11 times in 107 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 22 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 22 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 21 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 21 | 3rd | 23272839 |
| 2026-05-16 | 4 | 2nd | 5283237 |
| 2026-04-18 | 3 | 4th | 381328 |
| 2026-03-28 | 11 | 3rd | 18232835 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2 | 3rd | 2182832 |
| 2025-12-27 | 1 | 2nd | 20283139 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 2nd | 27282937 |
| 2025-12-06 | 14 | 2nd | 24283242 |
| 2025-08-30 | 22 | 3rd | 9262840 |
| 2025-03-29 | 11 | 2nd | 2283034 |
| 2025-01-11 | — | 2nd | 9283134 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.