Number 15

In PowerBall under the 5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018 rules — 865 draws, 5 from 1–50.

104times drawn · chance expected 87 +1.98σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 90% for any number

8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

47longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 104 times in 865 draws against 86.5 expected, +1.98σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 104 times in 865 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 47 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest31 · chance 25.7
2nd smallest45 · chance 45.0
3rd smallest25 · chance 26.6
4th smallest3 · chance 6.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

24 19 30 29 32 35

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 49 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-02	14	1st	15 26 27 28 39
2026-08-14	7	2nd	14 15 19 39 44
2026-07-21	23	1st	15 40 41 47 50
2026-05-01	9	1st	15 17 27 29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-06-04	20	2nd	4 15 38 41 42
2024-03-26	2	2nd	11 15 35 41 45
2024-03-19	10	2nd	7 15 19 26 36
2024-02-13	9	2nd	13 15 30 32 46
2024-01-12	9	1st	15 29 36 45 49
2023-12-12	12	3rd	7 9 15 38 41
2023-10-31	6	2nd	10 15 19 36 48
2023-10-10	2	2nd	7 15 19 20 49
2023-10-03	4	3rd	3 8 15 24 45
2023-09-19	2	1st	15 18 36 43 46
2023-09-12	28	2nd	3 15 18 36 45
2023-06-06	14	3rd	3 9 15 38 44
2023-04-18	3	4th	3 5 8 15 25
2023-04-07	1	2nd	9 15 21 22 26
2023-04-04	8	1st	15 18 29 33 35
2023-03-07	13	3rd	8 14 15 27 49
2023-01-20	24	3rd	5 12 15 39 47
2022-10-28	47	1st	15 25 30 32 40
2022-05-17	1	1st	15 24 32 35 46
2022-05-13	9	3rd	9 14 15 35 49
2022-04-12	5	2nd	11 15 28 34 42
2022-03-25	2	1st	15 28 32 43 50
2022-03-18	5	3rd	3 12 15 19 22
2022-03-01	3	2nd	4 15 26 38 39
2022-02-18	29	2nd	2 15 31 47 48
2021-11-09	1	2nd	13 15 32 43 44
2021-11-05	3	2nd	9 15 38 40 42
2021-10-26	2	2nd	8 15 19 27 49
2021-10-19	1	1st	15 19 21 24 41
2021-10-15	5	1st	15 30 44 45 48
2021-09-28	18	2nd	13 15 20 28 29
2021-07-27	33	3rd	5 12 15 28 29
2021-04-02	6	3rd	4 8 15 25 26
2021-03-12	2	2nd	7 15 29 34 39
2021-03-05	6	2nd	6 15 39 40 48
2021-02-12	1	2nd	3 15 35 39 41
2021-02-09	4	3rd	4 7 15 30 32
2021-01-26	8	4th	4 8 12 15 19
2020-12-29	1	1st	15 17 24 28 30
2020-12-22	5	3rd	9 12 15 27 42
2020-12-04	3	2nd	13 15 24 30 50
2020-11-24	10	2nd	13 15 30 43 47
2020-10-20	2	1st	15 20 29 32 45
2020-10-13	25	2nd	13 15 20 27 28
2020-07-17	4	2nd	12 15 24 30 38
2020-07-03	9	3rd	2 7 15 25 41
2020-06-02	2	2nd	5 15 29 41 46
2020-05-26	2	1st	15 25 34 39 42
2020-05-19	30	2nd	9 15 19 36 44
2020-02-04	14	2nd	3 15 23 37 45
2019-12-17	4	1st	15 27 33 38 48
2019-12-03	5	3rd	5 6 15 23 45
2019-11-15	8	2nd	13 15 31 37 49
2019-10-18	2	1st	15 21 31 34 44
2019-10-11	1	1st	15 16 17 26 43
2019-10-08	8	2nd	4 15 36 37 50
2019-09-10	5	2nd	10 15 24 28 50
2019-08-23	5	3rd	8 9 15 20 24
2019-08-06	13	3rd	6 8 15 30 37
2019-06-21	3	2nd	8 15 28 46 49
2019-06-11	4	3rd	11 14 15 38 47
2019-05-28	2	1st	15 21 25 33 43
2019-05-21	2	3rd	3 11 15 33 43
2019-05-14	2	1st	15 18 34 44 46
2019-05-07	9	1st	15 22 30 45 48
2019-04-05	4	1st	15 22 29 31 48
2019-03-22	11	3rd	8 10 15 34 35
2019-02-12	6	1st	15 16 24 38 47
2019-01-22	4	2nd	6 15 24 41 47
2019-01-08	11	2nd	2 15 35 44 46
2018-11-30	10	2nd	12 15 25 29 49
2018-10-26	7	2nd	2 15 19 24 38
2018-10-02	2	3rd	3 7 15 24 35
2018-09-25	2	2nd	7 15 17 30 40
2018-09-18	13	1st	15 22 23 31 38
2018-08-03	2	2nd	1 15 23 24 35
2018-07-27	1	2nd	4 15 19 33 36
2018-07-24	7	2nd	9 15 18 24 29
2018-06-29	1	1st	15 22 25 31 37
2018-06-26	—	1st	15 25 39 43 50