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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 16 October 2026

ResultPowerBall

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 33
  3. 38
  4. 42
  5. 49
  6. 4

JackpotZAR 6,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 867 of 1,713 under them

← 2026-10-13All recent drawsLatest on record

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 16 Oct 2026, 20:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 33 38 42 49 + 416 Oct 2026, 20:52 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap59th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

15105times
3376times
38101times
4282times
49

Prize breakdown · 2026-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.3Mto 129k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Powerball18%ZAR 766.1K
  • Match 320%ZAR 838.6K
  • Match 1 + Powerball19%ZAR 821.2K
  • 4 other tiers43%ZAR 1.9M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Powerball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

99times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

447times

Every number was expected about that many times after 866 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (38, 42, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 October 2024 — its closest relative in 866 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2026): 15 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

177

The numbers add up to 177 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
ZAR 6,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.1 by chanceno winners
  • Match 4 + Powerball16≈ 13 by chanceZAR 35,786
  • Match 4161≈ 251 by chanceZAR 2,000
  • Match 3 + Powerball486≈ 581 by chanceZAR 500
  • Match 2 + Powerball7,661≈ 8.3k by chanceZAR 100
  • Match 38,386≈ 11k by chanceZAR 100
  • Match 1 + Powerball41,058≈ 44k by chanceZAR 20.00
  • Match 0 + Powerball71,652≈ 72k by chanceZAR 10.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,386 winners, 24% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Powerball0ZAR 6,000,000
    Match 50ZAR 0.00
    Match 4 + Powerball16ZAR 35,786
    Match 4161ZAR 2,000
    Match 3 + Powerball486ZAR 500
    Match 38,386ZAR 100
    Match 2 + Powerball7,661ZAR 100
    Match 1 + Powerball41,058ZAR 20.00
    Match 0 + Powerball71,652ZAR 10.00
    Totals129,420—