Number 40

In PowerBall under the 5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018 rules — 865 draws, 5 from 1–50.

90times drawn · chance expected 87 +0.40σ

11draws waiting · a wait this long: 35% for any number

9.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

51longest completed wait · 37% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 90 times in 865 draws against 86.5 expected, +0.40σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 90 times in 865 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 11 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest1 · chance 2.0
3rd smallest18 · chance 14.2
4th smallest37 · chance 38.8
5th smallest34 · chance 34.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 32 31 48 39 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 49 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-01	6	5th	14 16 31 34 40
2026-08-11	1	4th	3 14 26 40 48
2026-08-07	5	5th	8 22 31 39 40
2026-07-21	2	2nd	15 40 41 47

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-01-17	9	5th	4 11 27 39 40
2024-12-17	1	5th	12 21 28 32 40
2024-12-13	4	4th	3 28 39 40 49
2024-11-29	9	5th	5 16 27 32 40
2024-10-29	6	5th	1 19 30 37 40
2024-10-08	13	5th	3 13 31 37 40
2024-08-23	1	5th	20 22 37 39 40
2024-08-20	4	5th	5 7 13 23 40
2024-08-06	11	4th	5 31 34 40 46
2024-06-28	1	4th	19 22 31 40 47
2024-06-25	3	3rd	3 32 40 42 49
2024-06-14	11	3rd	19 24 40 45 49
2024-05-07	32	5th	2 4 10 39 40
2024-01-16	15	3rd	5 29 40 42 47
2023-11-24	5	3rd	21 32 40 41 47
2023-11-07	51	5th	3 13 28 31 40
2023-05-12	21	4th	5 11 30 40 47
2023-02-28	9	5th	2 14 21 22 40
2023-01-27	1	4th	27 34 36 40 50
2023-01-24	17	4th	3 10 32 40 48
2022-11-25	6	5th	7 16 26 34 40
2022-11-04	2	5th	1 8 29 35 40
2022-10-28	9	5th	15 25 30 32 40
2022-09-27	10	4th	4 32 39 40 46
2022-08-23	1	5th	10 11 17 29 40
2022-08-19	1	4th	23 36 39 40 43
2022-08-16	16	3rd	21 33 40 42 48
2022-06-21	30	4th	2 6 18 40 50
2022-03-08	3	4th	8 14 21 40 43
2022-02-25	7	4th	6 12 26 40 45
2022-02-01	21	4th	31 33 37 40 43
2021-11-19	4	4th	4 16 39 40 50
2021-11-05	4	4th	9 15 38 40 42
2021-10-22	6	4th	3 8 17 40 47
2021-10-01	7	4th	24 25 38 40 49
2021-09-07	14	5th	2 11 13 19 40
2021-07-20	39	4th	7 32 33 40 42
2021-03-05	14	4th	6 15 39 40 48
2021-01-15	10	3rd	24 31 40 45 48
2020-12-08	9	5th	6 16 35 37 40
2020-11-06	15	4th	6 9 33 40 44
2020-09-15	7	4th	3 18 32 40 46
2020-08-21	3	4th	13 32 33 40 41
2020-08-11	4	4th	27 29 39 40 42
2020-07-28	15	5th	3 28 30 38 40
2020-06-05	32	4th	14 23 28 40 48
2020-02-14	1	3rd	2 19 40 49 50
2020-02-11	9	3rd	9 22 40 43 46
2020-01-10	6	5th	23 25 28 30 40
2019-12-20	3	5th	8 10 22 36 40
2019-12-10	27	4th	18 21 24 40 50
2019-09-06	2	4th	2 20 25 40 49
2019-08-30	13	4th	8 14 36 40 47
2019-07-16	6	5th	3 5 20 23 40
2019-06-25	29	5th	3 32 33 38 40
2019-03-15	1	3rd	19 36 40 45 49
2019-03-12	5	3rd	8 27 40 46 48
2019-02-22	8	5th	7 9 10 11 40
2019-01-25	2	4th	20 27 31 40 41
2019-01-18	8	5th	8 23 26 38 40
2018-12-21	21	3rd	22 34 40 44 48
2018-10-09	4	5th	5 13 22 24 40
2018-09-25	3	5th	7 15 17 30 40
2018-09-14	1	5th	10 17 29 31 40
2018-09-11	5	4th	3 26 34 40 50
2018-08-24	—	5th	3 6 25 27 40