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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 158,035,648
The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 322 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 321 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 15, 29) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 June 2020 — its closest relative in 321 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 89 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 861 winners, 17% more than the 737 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 210,721 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 134,034 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 26,963 | ZAR 20.20 |
| Match 3 | 37,582 | ZAR 19.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,946 | ZAR 447 |
| Match 4 | 861 | ZAR 894 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 42 | ZAR 10,805 |
| Match 5 | 3 | ZAR 241,556 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | ZAR 158,035,648 |