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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 7 March 2023

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 8
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 27
  5. 49
  6. 16

JackpotZAR 54,055,801

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 490 of 1,712 under them

← 2023-03-03All recent draws2023-03-10 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 3
    2. 21
    3. 29
    4. 47
    5. 48
    6. 7

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 14 15 27 4929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community8 14 15 27 49 + 1628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread76th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

850times
1441times
1564times
2744times
4959times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

1628times

Every number was expected about that many times after 489 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 15, 27, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 October 2021 — its closest relative in 489 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.1% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-07

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.8Mto 237k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 522.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers40%ZAR 1.9M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 54,055,801
  2. Match 51≈ 1.9 by chanceZAR 434,858
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 23 by chanceZAR 10,086
  4. Match 4465≈ 429 by chanceZAR 993
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,045≈ 994 by chanceZAR 500
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,869≈ 14k by chanceZAR 22.00
  7. Match 321,181≈ 19k by chanceZAR 20.50
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball76,641≈ 75k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball122,675≈ 123k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 21,181 winners, 12% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball122,675ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball76,641ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,869ZAR 22.00
Match 321,181ZAR 20.50
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,045ZAR 500
Match 4465ZAR 993
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27ZAR 10,086
Match 51ZAR 434,858
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 54,055,801