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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 27 July 2018

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 33
  5. 36
  6. 2

JackpotZAR 113,951,195

The crowdHeld 29% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 10 of 1,711 under them

← 2018-07-24All recent draws2018-07-31 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 2
    2. 11
    3. 13
    4. 15
    5. 39
    6. 2

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 19 33 3629 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community4 15 19 33 36 + 228 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

40times
153times
191time
331time
360times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

20times

Every number was expected about that many times after 9 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 July 2018 — its closest relative in 9 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 July 2018): 15 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-27

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 11.1Mto 538k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 1.2M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 2.6M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 2.7M
  • 5 other tiers41%ZAR 4.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.22 by chanceZAR 113,951,195
  2. Match 56≈ 4.2 by chanceZAR 170,618
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball63≈ 50 by chanceZAR 10,175
  4. Match 41,450≈ 953 by chanceZAR 750
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,487≈ 2.2k by chanceZAR 494
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball34,027≈ 32k by chanceZAR 22.60
  7. Match 353,906≈ 42k by chanceZAR 19.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball173,169≈ 166k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball272,395≈ 272k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,450 winners, 52% more than the 953 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball272,395ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball173,169ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball34,027ZAR 22.60
Match 353,906ZAR 19.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,487ZAR 494
Match 41,450ZAR 750
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball63ZAR 10,175
Match 56ZAR 170,618
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 113,951,195