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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 100,000,000
The crowdHeld 29% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 9 of 1,711 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 8 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 1 of 5 numbers (9) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 July 2018 — its closest relative in 8 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 July 2018): 9 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 95 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 952 winners, 36% more than the 698 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 199,354 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 128,527 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 26,344 | ZAR 20.60 |
| Match 3 | 39,735 | ZAR 18.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,843 | ZAR 471 |
| Match 4 | 952 | ZAR 806 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 39 | ZAR 11,609 |
| Match 5 | 4 | ZAR 180,748 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 100,000,000 |