Number 10

In PowerBall under the 5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018 rules — 865 draws, 5 from 1–50.

85times drawn · chance expected 87 −0.17σ

20draws waiting · a wait this long: 14% for any number

9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

40longest completed wait · 75% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 85 times in 865 draws against 86.5 expected, −0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 20 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 85 times in 865 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 20 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest32 · chance 36.7
2nd smallest38 · chance 35.7
3rd smallest13 · chance 11.3
4th smallest2 · chance 1.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

9 11 50 48 22 37

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 49 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-07-31	12	1st	10 11 37 45 46
2026-06-19	5	2nd	9 10 27 37 44
2026-06-02	22	2nd	2 10 22 28 49
2026-03-17	3	1st	10 13 40 47

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-08-02	5	3rd	2 5 10 31 32
2024-07-16	1	2nd	2 10 22 48 49
2024-07-12	19	2nd	5 10 26 37 44
2024-05-07	13	3rd	2 4 10 39 40
2024-03-22	6	2nd	9 10 36 43 44
2024-03-01	7	1st	10 30 35 42 46
2024-02-06	24	3rd	2 6 10 18 28
2023-11-14	4	1st	10 24 30 33 44
2023-10-31	2	1st	10 15 19 36 48
2023-10-24	18	2nd	1 10 33 37 46
2023-08-22	12	2nd	5 10 16 19 29
2023-07-11	8	1st	10 19 20 22 48
2023-06-13	14	1st	10 28 31 35 42
2023-04-25	8	1st	10 12 13 23 47
2023-03-28	10	1st	10 22 27 42 49
2023-02-21	8	1st	10 18 22 36 48
2023-01-24	14	2nd	3 10 32 40 48
2022-12-06	8	3rd	1 9 10 47 50
2022-11-08	16	4th	7 8 9 10 17
2022-09-13	4	2nd	1 10 11 20 33
2022-08-30	2	3rd	1 7 10 27 35
2022-08-23	33	1st	10 11 17 29 40
2022-04-29	4	2nd	5 10 25 34 50
2022-04-15	20	2nd	4 10 12 35 39
2022-02-04	4	2nd	2 10 11 23 24
2022-01-21	4	1st	10 14 19 34 37
2022-01-07	4	1st	10 12 37 42 43
2021-12-24	28	2nd	6 10 11 29 41
2021-09-17	5	2nd	8 10 17 26 39
2021-08-31	1	2nd	9 10 35 42 48
2021-08-27	3	2nd	6 10 11 45 47
2021-08-17	28	1st	10 18 23 30 48
2021-05-11	14	2nd	4 10 17 29 38
2021-03-23	34	3rd	7 9 10 18 34
2020-11-20	14	2nd	7 10 13 22 50
2020-10-02	3	2nd	8 10 23 41 50
2020-09-22	3	2nd	3 10 28 31 41
2020-09-11	4	3rd	1 4 10 12 49
2020-08-28	4	2nd	8 10 17 44 45
2020-08-14	24	1st	10 11 16 25 30
2020-05-22	8	2nd	9 10 24 41 45
2020-04-24	6	1st	10 12 22 42 50
2020-04-03	11	2nd	9 10 29 32 45
2020-02-25	12	2nd	4 10 17 26 31
2020-01-14	7	2nd	9 10 11 32 43
2019-12-20	11	2nd	8 10 22 36 40
2019-11-12	8	3rd	3 5 10 11 25
2019-10-15	9	1st	10 34 36 39 50
2019-09-13	1	3rd	8 9 10 11 42
2019-09-10	4	1st	10 15 24 28 50
2019-08-27	3	4th	4 5 9 10 11
2019-08-16	21	2nd	3 10 14 31 41
2019-06-04	12	1st	10 16 22 46 50
2019-04-23	9	1st	10 35 37 46 48
2019-03-22	7	2nd	8 10 15 34 35
2019-02-26	1	1st	10 20 28 31 33
2019-02-22	30	3rd	7 9 10 11 40
2018-11-09	1	3rd	6 7 10 19 43
2018-11-06	15	1st	10 20 48 49 50
2018-09-14	10	1st	10 17 29 31 40
2018-08-10	—	2nd	3 10 14 43 50