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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 16,381,958
The crowdHeld 44% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 29 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 28 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 24, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 August 2018 — its closest relative in 28 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 13% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 September 2018): 7, 24 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 84 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,080 winners, 44% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 85,871 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 53,879 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 10,898 | ZAR 21.40 |
| Match 3 | 19,080 | ZAR 16.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 862 | ZAR 432 |
| Match 4 | 560 | ZAR 589 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 30 | ZAR 6,482 |
| Match 5 | 3 | ZAR 103,505 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 16,381,958 |