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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 20 January 2023

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 5
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 39
  5. 47
  6. 8

JackpotZAR 15,059,973

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 477 of 1,712 under them

← 2023-01-17All recent draws2023-01-24 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 25
    2. 34
    3. 36
    4. 47
    5. 50
    6. 14

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 12 15 39 4729 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community5 12 15 39 47 + 828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd90th
  • low66th
  • widest gap86th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

544times
1246times
1563times
3945times
4744times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

824times

Every number was expected about that many times after 476 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 12, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 July 2021 — its closest relative in 476 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 January 2023): 39 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-20

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.3Mto 222k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 442.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers38%ZAR 1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 15,059,973
  2. Match 52≈ 1.8 by chanceZAR 184,196
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15≈ 22 by chanceZAR 15,379
  4. Match 4323≈ 411 by chanceZAR 1,211
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball830≈ 952 by chanceZAR 533
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,749≈ 14k by chanceZAR 20.10
  7. Match 316,317≈ 18k by chanceZAR 22.50
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,855≈ 72k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball117,544≈ 118k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 830 winners, 13% fewer than the 952 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball117,544ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,855ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,749ZAR 20.10
Match 316,317ZAR 22.50
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball830ZAR 533
Match 4323ZAR 1,211
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15ZAR 15,379
Match 52ZAR 184,196
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 15,059,973