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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 1 March 2022

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 26
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 19

JackpotZAR 30,056,167

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 384 of 1,712 under them

← 2022-02-25All recent draws2022-03-04 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 5
    2. 7
    3. 22
    4. 38
    5. 48
    6. 12

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 26 38 3929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community4 15 26 38 39 + 1928 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum43th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

443times
1556times
2623times
3845times
3933times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

1912times

Every number was expected about that many times after 383 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 15, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 April 2021 — its closest relative in 383 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2022): 26 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 5.5Mto 263k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 593.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 1.3M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.4M
  • 5 other tiers40%ZAR 2.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chanceZAR 30,056,167
  2. Match 53≈ 2.2 by chanceZAR 164,936
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23≈ 26 by chanceZAR 13,472
  4. Match 4441≈ 487 by chanceZAR 1,191
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,090≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 545
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,822≈ 16k by chanceZAR 23.50
  7. Match 321,620≈ 21k by chanceZAR 22.90
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball84,854≈ 85k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball139,209≈ 139k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,090 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball139,209ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball84,854ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,822ZAR 23.50
Match 321,620ZAR 22.90
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,090ZAR 545
Match 4441ZAR 1,191
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23ZAR 13,472
Match 53ZAR 164,936
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 30,056,167