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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 25 September 2018

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 7
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 30
  5. 40
  6. 11

JackpotZAR 7,670,329

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 27 of 1,712 under them

← 2018-09-21All recent draws2018-09-28 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 15
    2. 16
    3. 20
    4. 41
    5. 43
    6. 12

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 15 17 30 4029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community7 15 17 30 40 + 1128 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

71time
156times
171time
301time
403times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 26 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (17, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 September 2018 — its closest relative in 26 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 2.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 2.7Mto 141k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 281.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 696.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 724.2K
  • 5 other tiers38%ZAR 1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.06 by chanceZAR 7,670,329
  2. Match 52≈ 1.1 by chanceZAR 117,126
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 13 by chanceZAR 14,669
  4. Match 4275≈ 253 by chanceZAR 904
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball638≈ 587 by chanceZAR 441
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,332≈ 8.4k by chanceZAR 18.90
  7. Match 311,985≈ 11k by chanceZAR 19.60
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball46,446≈ 44k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball72,416≈ 72k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 9,332 winners, 11% more than the 8.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball72,416ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball46,446ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,332ZAR 18.90
Match 311,985ZAR 19.60
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball638ZAR 441
Match 4275ZAR 904
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10ZAR 14,669
Match 52ZAR 117,126
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 7,670,329