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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 65,000,000
The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 735 of 1,711 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 734 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 15, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 July 2024 — its closest relative in 734 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 July 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 51 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 26,767 winners, 32% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 131,652 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 83,559 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 16,746 | ZAR 20.70 |
| Match 3 | 26,767 | ZAR 17.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,349 | ZAR 410 |
| Match 4 | 688 | ZAR 712 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 35 | ZAR 8,250 |
| Match 5 | 5 | ZAR 92,226 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 65,000,000 |