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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 42,000,000
The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 798 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 February 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 797 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 23, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 August 2021 — its closest relative in 797 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 February 2026): 23 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 13,189 winners, 6% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 107,628 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 67,063 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 13,189 | ZAR 22.10 |
| Match 3 | 17,195 | ZAR 22.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 917 | ZAR 507 |
| Match 4 | 383 | ZAR 1,074 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 15 | ZAR 41,984 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 42,000,000 |