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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 14 May 2019

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 15
  2. 18
  3. 34
  4. 44
  5. 46
  6. 16

JackpotZAR 25,023,233

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 93 of 1,712 under them

← 2019-05-10All recent draws2019-05-17 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 8
    2. 12
    3. 16
    4. 24
    5. 50
    6. 8

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 18 34 44 4629 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community15 18 34 44 46 + 1628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd10th
  • low34th
  • widest gap46th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

1516times
185times
3410times
448times
4610times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

163times

Every number was expected about that many times after 92 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 44, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 January 2019 — its closest relative in 92 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 36% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.0Mto 141k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%ZAR 462.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 677.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 746.1K
  • 4 other tiers38%ZAR 1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.06 by chanceZAR 25,023,233
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 14 by chanceZAR 23,129
  3. Match 4242≈ 261 by chanceZAR 1,248
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball578≈ 605 by chanceZAR 591
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,653≈ 8.7k by chanceZAR 24.70
  6. Match 311,586≈ 11k by chanceZAR 24.50
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,142≈ 45k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball74,612≈ 75k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 578 winners, 4% fewer than the 605 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball74,612ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,142ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,653ZAR 24.70
Match 311,586ZAR 24.50
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball578ZAR 591
Match 4242ZAR 1,248
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20ZAR 23,129
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 25,023,233