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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 109 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 6 times in 109 draws against 12.5 expected, −1.94σ. Each draw is independent: after 33 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 6 times in 109 draws · average wait 14.2 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 33 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 19 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 20 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | 30 | 1st | 9122021 |
| 2026-03-02 | 12 | 1st | 9252630 |
| 2026-01-19 | 17 | 3rd | 16921 |
| 2025-11-20 | 6 | 2nd | 692634 |
| 2025-10-30 | 6 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 1st |
| 9161931 |
| 2025-10-09 | — | 1st | 9111323 |