Number 14

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

78times drawn · chance expected 84 −0.71σ

16draws waiting · a wait this long: 19% for any number

9.6average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

34longest completed wait · 85% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 78 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, −0.71σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 78 times in 791 draws · average wait 9.6 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 16 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest14 · chance 19.6
2nd smallest35 · chance 33.9
3rd smallest25 · chance 19.7
4th smallest4 · chance 4.5
5th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 36 10 13 20 21

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-17	2	2nd	13 14 23 33 36
2026-08-10	4	2nd	1 14 30 34 46
2026-07-27	12	2nd	6 14 15 34 39
2026-06-15	2	3rd	7 8 14 17

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-09-30	25	2nd	6 14 21 24 36
2024-07-04	12	3rd	5 10 14 19 34
2024-05-23	4	1st	14 20 31 40 43
2024-05-09	2	2nd	1 14 17 27 35
2024-05-02	12	3rd	5 10 14 35 45
2024-03-21	19	4th	3 4 11 14 18
2024-01-15	3	2nd	4 14 21 35 36
2024-01-04	2	2nd	12 14 26 39 46
2023-12-28	5	2nd	13 14 35 36 41
2023-12-11	5	2nd	12 14 20 28 41
2023-11-23	10	2nd	10 14 19 35 41
2023-10-19	5	2nd	12 14 38 41 44
2023-10-02	6	3rd	1 7 14 15 26
2023-09-11	2	3rd	4 5 14 24 35
2023-09-04	1	1st	14 30 31 44 47
2023-08-31	6	2nd	1 14 25 32 43
2023-08-10	5	3rd	2 12 14 23 33
2023-07-24	16	1st	14 21 41 43 47
2023-05-29	1	3rd	4 11 14 41 45
2023-05-25	12	2nd	8 14 16 32 37
2023-04-13	19	3rd	7 8 14 17 45
2023-02-06	13	1st	14 18 22 32 44
2022-12-22	8	1st	14 27 28 40 43
2022-11-24	21	3rd	1 10 14 32 40
2022-09-12	2	3rd	10 13 14 21 46
2022-09-05	2	2nd	6 14 20 29 33
2022-08-29	13	3rd	3 8 14 31 47
2022-07-14	5	3rd	4 5 14 16 38
2022-06-27	25	1st	14 16 25 27 37
2022-03-31	13	1st	14 23 33 38 39
2022-02-14	6	3rd	3 9 14 27 38
2022-01-24	16	1st	14 18 28 29 38
2021-11-29	2	2nd	2 14 18 34 40
2021-11-22	14	2nd	3 14 26 30 39
2021-10-04	16	2nd	11 14 24 33 36
2021-08-09	5	3rd	9 13 14 23 34
2021-07-22	24	2nd	5 14 37 40 43
2021-04-29	2	2nd	13 14 21 23 40
2021-04-22	15	1st	14 30 36 41 42
2021-03-01	6	2nd	9 14 19 35 37
2021-02-08	13	3rd	4 10 14 17 30
2020-12-24	1	3rd	3 13 14 36 38
2020-12-21	4	3rd	10 13 14 40 43
2020-12-07	34	3rd	3 11 14 21 44
2020-08-10	27	3rd	1 10 14 21 26
2020-05-07	27	2nd	7 14 27 39 44
2020-02-03	2	2nd	9 14 40 42 43
2020-01-27	10	2nd	8 14 16 19 25
2019-12-23	3	1st	14 18 28 33 35
2019-12-12	6	2nd	12 14 31 37 39
2019-11-21	10	1st	14 19 20 21 39
2019-10-17	13	2nd	8 14 18 29 46
2019-09-02	11	1st	14 20 24 36 40
2019-07-25	—	2nd	5 14 26 33 36