Number 23

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

91times drawn · chance expected 84 +0.79σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 41% for any number

8.7average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

33longest completed wait · 92% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 91 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, +0.79σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 91 times in 791 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest8 · chance 5.9
2nd smallest24 · chance 24.8
3rd smallest35 · chance 35.6
4th smallest21 · chance 20.6
5th smallest3 · chance 4.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 15 18 43 13 14

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-10	7	3rd	2 11 23 43 44
2026-08-17	13	3rd	13 14 23 33 36
2026-07-02	4	3rd	16 22 23 25 30
2026-06-18	3	3rd	11 20 23

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-10-07	7	4th	17 18 22 23 29
2024-09-12	2	3rd	1 4 23 38 39
2024-09-05	5	3rd	3 5 23 32 44
2024-08-19	4	1st	23 33 35 42 43
2024-08-05	14	2nd	8 23 31 38 47
2024-06-17	10	3rd	6 22 23 36 41
2024-05-13	14	4th	5 10 19 23 44
2024-03-25	9	2nd	11 23 24 26 35
2024-02-22	6	4th	16 17 19 23 38
2024-02-01	2	4th	3 7 11 23 29
2024-01-25	1	3rd	7 20 23 36 44
2024-01-22	3	2nd	6 23 26 27 34
2024-01-11	22	3rd	15 16 23 35 42
2023-10-26	8	3rd	2 11 23 43 46
2023-09-28	2	2nd	18 23 28 29 37
2023-09-21	12	3rd	7 17 23 24 40
2023-08-10	9	4th	2 12 14 23 33
2023-07-10	16	3rd	1 18 23 35 47
2023-05-15	8	2nd	3 23 25 33 36
2023-04-17	2	3rd	5 15 23 26 44
2023-04-10	12	2nd	5 23 26 27 43
2023-02-27	12	1st	23 28 34 45 46
2023-01-16	1	2nd	10 23 32 36 40
2023-01-12	11	1st	23 24 25 30 31
2022-12-05	11	2nd	19 23 31 34 43
2022-10-27	12	2nd	15 23 25 35 36
2022-09-15	11	4th	3 13 20 23 38
2022-08-08	8	4th	10 15 22 23 41
2022-07-11	9	3rd	8 18 23 24 43
2022-06-09	10	3rd	10 21 23 29 35
2022-05-05	10	2nd	16 23 29 36 38
2022-03-31	3	2nd	14 23 33 38 39
2022-03-21	4	3rd	3 8 23 30 32
2022-03-07	33	1st	23 29 37 38 46
2021-11-11	10	3rd	18 19 23 35 36
2021-10-07	6	3rd	12 13 23 27 33
2021-09-16	11	3rd	13 15 23 37 44
2021-08-09	24	4th	9 13 14 23 34
2021-05-17	5	3rd	10 17 23 39 41
2021-04-29	18	4th	13 14 21 23 40
2021-02-25	3	5th	2 12 16 19 23
2021-02-15	4	2nd	22 23 25 32 44
2021-02-01	24	2nd	20 23 30 31 42
2020-11-09	12	1st	23 26 29 37 43
2020-09-28	30	2nd	6 23 38 41 42
2020-06-15	5	4th	4 15 21 23 42
2020-05-28	3	4th	3 5 13 23 31
2020-05-18	10	3rd	6 17 23 43 45
2020-04-13	1	3rd	1 21 23 29 41
2020-04-09	1	3rd	13 15 23 27 37
2020-04-06	15	2nd	11 23 31 39 42
2020-02-13	13	3rd	6 17 23 26 29
2019-12-30	4	4th	8 18 21 23 44
2019-12-16	8	4th	8 10 16 23 39
2019-11-18	2	3rd	6 18 23 33 40
2019-11-11	8	1st	23 32 38 40 47
2019-10-14	10	5th	2 5 15 21 23
2019-09-09	1	4th	9 15 21 23 26
2019-09-05	11	2nd	20 23 28 30 38
2019-07-29	2	3rd	18 21 23 34 39
2019-07-22	1	2nd	8 23 26 28 31
2019-07-18	1	2nd	15 23 25 38 42
2019-07-15	10	3rd	2 17 23 27 34
2019-06-10	3	1st	23 29 33 40 43
2019-05-30	4	3rd	4 20 23 25 27
2019-05-16	15	2nd	15 23 31 32 33
2019-03-25	—	4th	2 6 9 23 30