Number 21

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

102times drawn · chance expected 84 +2.06σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 46% for any number

7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

35longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long

21 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 102 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, +2.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 21, draw by draw

Drawn 102 times in 791 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest6 · chance 9.3
2nd smallest22 · chance 32.5
3rd smallest42 · chance 38.6
4th smallest27 · chance 18.5
5th smallest5 · chance 3.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 13 5 3 38 12

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-14	12	3rd	10 19 21 27 41
2026-08-03	20	3rd	12 20 21 24 41
2026-05-25	2	3rd	3 14 21 28 44
2026-05-18	16	2nd	3 21 22 28

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-09-30	8	3rd	6 14 21 24 36
2024-09-02	1	3rd	3 9 21 22 31
2024-08-29	14	3rd	4 8 21 25 43
2024-07-11	16	4th	7 11 15 21 32
2024-05-16	9	4th	4 12 16 21 26
2024-04-15	10	3rd	1 3 21 22 27
2024-03-11	4	2nd	12 21 30 35 44
2024-02-26	12	3rd	3 10 21 24 39
2024-01-15	6	3rd	4 14 21 35 36
2023-12-25	1	3rd	2 15 21 41 47
2023-12-21	2	5th	4 8 17 18 21
2023-12-14	28	4th	12 13 16 21 44
2023-09-07	5	3rd	3 9 21 26 42
2023-08-21	8	3rd	11 15 21 33 43
2023-07-24	10	2nd	14 21 41 43 47
2023-06-19	4	3rd	7 19 21 22 41
2023-06-05	8	3rd	2 5 21 34 35
2023-05-08	9	4th	7 12 13 21 26
2023-04-06	16	2nd	16 21 41 43 46
2023-02-09	5	4th	4 16 17 21 34
2023-01-23	8	4th	4 10 13 21 30
2022-12-26	5	5th	3 5 7 16 21
2022-12-08	3	3rd	1 3 21 38 42
2022-11-28	3	5th	2 12 17 19 21
2022-11-17	1	2nd	13 21 22 25 37
2022-11-14	2	3rd	9 20 21 37 40
2022-11-07	8	4th	10 12 13 21 42
2022-10-10	4	4th	8 9 16 21 37
2022-09-26	4	2nd	11 21 25 28 39
2022-09-12	5	4th	10 13 14 21 46
2022-08-25	1	3rd	1 3 21 27 34
2022-08-22	2	1st	21 28 33 38 47
2022-08-15	12	4th	8 10 18 21 40
2022-07-04	7	4th	5 7 10 21 38
2022-06-09	5	2nd	10 21 23 29 35
2022-05-23	7	3rd	2 6 21 24 25
2022-04-28	19	3rd	5 13 21 42 47
2022-02-21	11	4th	11 13 16 21 46
2022-01-13	11	4th	5 16 17 21 43
2021-12-06	3	3rd	16 18 21 22 45
2021-11-25	3	3rd	2 13 21 26 34
2021-11-15	5	2nd	13 21 28 32 36
2021-10-28	5	3rd	3 9 21 29 45
2021-10-11	3	3rd	9 16 21 40 44
2021-09-30	6	4th	5 10 20 21 24
2021-09-09	35	3rd	1 2 21 25 29
2021-05-10	3	3rd	13 18 21 26 47
2021-04-29	1	3rd	13 14 21 23 40
2021-04-26	5	4th	8 12 13 21 25
2021-04-08	8	2nd	19 21 24 32 42
2021-03-11	27	4th	3 11 20 21 26
2020-12-07	6	4th	3 11 14 21 44
2020-11-16	7	3rd	13 17 21 38 39
2020-10-22	1	4th	2 6 15 21 43
2020-10-19	4	1st	21 31 32 40 42
2020-10-05	7	1st	21 34 39 41 45
2020-09-10	9	3rd	6 7 21 38 39
2020-08-10	5	4th	1 10 14 21 26
2020-07-23	5	2nd	5 21 33 36 40
2020-07-06	6	4th	5 12 17 21 30
2020-06-15	14	3rd	4 15 21 23 42
2020-04-27	4	4th	9 16 17 21 28
2020-04-13	6	2nd	1 21 23 29 41
2020-03-23	9	1st	21 28 35 37 42
2020-02-20	4	3rd	8 19 21 38 42
2020-02-06	11	5th	1 9 16 17 21
2019-12-30	9	3rd	8 18 21 23 44
2019-11-28	2	2nd	17 21 30 32 38
2019-11-21	4	4th	14 19 20 21 39
2019-11-07	7	4th	11 15 16 21 38
2019-10-14	7	4th	2 5 15 21 23
2019-09-19	3	1st	21 22 38 39 42
2019-09-09	11	3rd	9 15 21 23 26
2019-08-01	1	3rd	15 16 21 37 40
2019-07-29	5	2nd	18 21 23 34 39
2019-07-11	3	3rd	4 12 21 42 43
2019-07-01	11	3rd	3 11 21 35 45
2019-05-23	—	2nd	15 21 31 44 45