Number 30

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

79times drawn · chance expected 84 −0.59σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 80% for any number

10.1average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

68longest completed wait · 4% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 79 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, −0.59σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 79 times in 791 draws · average wait 10.1 draws · longest completed wait 68 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 1.2
2nd smallest16 · chance 9.5
3rd smallest20 · chance 26.7
4th smallest30 · chance 30.1
5th smallest13 · chance 11.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6 10 2 17 25 28

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-01	15	3rd	16 24 30 36 41
2026-08-10	5	3rd	1 14 30 34 46
2026-07-23	6	5th	2 6 10 18 30
2026-07-02	1	5th	16 22 23 25

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-09-19	1	3rd	5 6 30 46 47
2024-09-16	7	5th	12 13 15 17 30
2024-08-22	8	2nd	15 30 32 33 39
2024-07-25	13	4th	7 20 25 30 33
2024-06-10	20	2nd	28 30 31 32 42
2024-04-01	6	2nd	19 30 35 40 44
2024-03-11	2	3rd	12 21 30 35 44
2024-03-04	5	4th	7 15 25 30 38
2024-02-15	26	4th	5 11 25 30 42
2023-11-16	7	3rd	12 18 30 40 41
2023-10-23	2	2nd	11 30 34 35 38
2023-10-16	12	2nd	13 30 33 35 43
2023-09-04	2	2nd	14 30 31 44 47
2023-08-28	1	2nd	2 30 36 39 45
2023-08-24	6	4th	5 6 29 30 40
2023-08-03	1	4th	2 11 17 30 38
2023-07-31	8	3rd	20 29 30 37 38
2023-07-03	2	4th	9 10 29 30 39
2023-06-26	25	2nd	3 30 33 36 44
2023-03-30	3	4th	4 24 25 30 33
2023-03-20	7	3rd	3 24 30 35 44
2023-02-23	2	4th	1 6 29 30 40
2023-02-16	6	5th	2 10 25 28 30
2023-01-26	1	4th	2 13 28 30 34
2023-01-23	1	5th	4 10 13 21 30
2023-01-19	2	2nd	15 30 40 42 47
2023-01-12	8	4th	23 24 25 30 31
2022-12-15	68	4th	6 9 12 30 46
2022-04-21	9	3rd	6 25 30 36 46
2022-03-21	1	4th	3 8 23 30 32
2022-03-17	33	3rd	18 25 30 42 44
2021-11-22	6	4th	3 14 26 30 39
2021-11-01	10	3rd	2 22 30 38 42
2021-09-27	9	2nd	26 30 32 40 44
2021-08-26	30	4th	17 19 25 30 40
2021-05-13	6	2nd	12 30 40 42 47
2021-04-22	5	2nd	14 30 36 41 42
2021-04-05	3	4th	13 28 29 30 34
2021-03-25	13	4th	10 13 28 30 38
2021-02-08	2	5th	4 10 14 17 30
2021-02-01	20	3rd	20 23 30 31 42
2020-11-23	12	5th	3 10 15 29 30
2020-10-12	28	5th	6 9 10 22 30
2020-07-06	10	5th	5 12 17 21 30
2020-06-01	38	2nd	4 30 32 34 38
2020-01-20	1	4th	4 10 16 30 36
2020-01-16	6	4th	8 15 29 30 47
2019-12-26	8	3rd	10 24 30 32 41
2019-11-28	8	3rd	17 21 30 32 38
2019-10-31	16	2nd	28 30 32 35 45
2019-09-05	2	4th	20 23 28 30 38
2019-08-29	19	4th	2 22 26 30 42
2019-06-24	14	4th	2 4 17 30 34
2019-05-06	12	4th	2 6 7 30 37
2019-03-25	—	5th	2 6 9 23 30