Number 16

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

80times drawn · chance expected 84 −0.48σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 80% for any number

9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

58longest completed wait · 12% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 80 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, −0.48σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 80 times in 791 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 58 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest17 · chance 15.4
2nd smallest35 · chance 33.1
3rd smallest23 · chance 23.9
4th smallest4 · chance 6.9
5th smallest1 · chance 0.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 36 19 15 22 24

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-01	8	1st	16 24 30 36 41
2026-09-03	18	1st	16 17 22 42 47
2026-07-02	3	1st	16 22 23 25 30
2026-06-22	3	2nd	1 16 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-12-14	3	3rd	12 13 16 21 44
2023-12-04	50	3rd	4 11 16 46 47
2023-06-12	5	2nd	13 16 24 35 36
2023-05-25	4	3rd	8 14 16 32 37
2023-05-11	2	1st	16 19 22 31 45
2023-05-04	8	3rd	13 15 16 35 37
2023-04-06	3	1st	16 21 41 43 46
2023-03-27	5	2nd	6 16 20 44 47
2023-03-09	8	2nd	9 16 27 39 46
2023-02-09	3	2nd	4 16 17 21 34
2023-01-30	6	2nd	15 16 19 22 25
2023-01-09	3	2nd	7 16 24 29 31
2022-12-29	1	1st	16 27 39 40 42
2022-12-26	22	4th	3 5 7 16 21
2022-10-10	3	3rd	8 9 16 21 37
2022-09-29	22	3rd	8 11 16 26 47
2022-07-14	5	4th	4 5 14 16 38
2022-06-27	8	2nd	14 16 25 27 37
2022-05-30	7	2nd	8 16 37 43 45
2022-05-05	21	1st	16 23 29 36 38
2022-02-21	5	3rd	11 13 16 21 46
2022-02-03	6	2nd	6 16 22 44 47
2022-01-13	11	2nd	5 16 17 21 43
2021-12-06	16	1st	16 18 21 22 45
2021-10-11	8	2nd	9 16 21 40 44
2021-09-13	3	2nd	15 16 19 34 44
2021-09-02	3	3rd	2 3 16 24 38
2021-08-23	36	2nd	6 16 19 34 37
2021-04-19	12	4th	1 10 11 16 46
2021-03-08	3	2nd	2 16 28 32 45
2021-02-25	1	3rd	2 12 16 19 23
2021-02-22	13	3rd	4 7 16 20 42
2021-01-07	19	1st	16 26 35 36 39
2020-11-02	5	2nd	3 16 41 42 44
2020-10-15	14	5th	5 10 12 13 16
2020-08-27	7	2nd	13 16 19 24 29
2020-08-03	7	2nd	15 16 33 36 45
2020-07-09	4	2nd	11 16 26 39 44
2020-06-25	1	2nd	3 16 18 20 45
2020-06-22	4	1st	16 25 28 35 38
2020-06-08	12	3rd	3 12 16 22 47
2020-04-27	15	2nd	9 16 17 21 28
2020-03-05	8	1st	16 24 29 31 46
2020-02-06	3	3rd	1 9 16 17 21
2020-01-27	2	3rd	8 14 16 19 25
2020-01-20	4	3rd	4 10 16 30 36
2020-01-06	6	3rd	10 15 16 22 39
2019-12-16	11	3rd	8 10 16 23 39
2019-11-07	5	3rd	11 15 16 21 38
2019-10-21	10	2nd	7 16 24 28 29
2019-09-16	13	3rd	5 9 16 32 41
2019-08-01	14	2nd	15 16 21 37 40
2019-06-13	12	2nd	10 16 28 29 46
2019-05-02	4	4th	11 12 15 16 47
2019-04-18	6	3rd	3 6 16 24 29
2019-03-28	—	2nd	8 16 36 39 44