Number 11

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

97times drawn · chance expected 84 +1.48σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 71% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

50longest completed wait · 32% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 97 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, +1.48σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 97 times in 791 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest37 · chance 35.0
2nd smallest40 · chance 42.4
3rd smallest19 · chance 16.9
4th smallest1 · chance 2.6
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

26 47 43 2 7 34

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-28	1	3rd	1 10 11 15 47
2026-09-24	4	2nd	1 11 31 35 36
2026-09-10	5	2nd	2 11 23 43 44
2026-08-24	19	1st	11 19 28 38

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-08-15	5	1st	11 25 26 34 47
2024-07-29	5	3rd	6 8 11 24 45
2024-07-11	1	2nd	7 11 15 21 32
2024-07-08	10	1st	11 34 35 44 45
2024-06-03	1	2nd	2 11 15 19 38
2024-05-30	7	2nd	5 11 12 25 26
2024-05-06	7	1st	11 15 26 33 44
2024-04-11	5	1st	11 13 19 27 42
2024-03-25	1	1st	11 23 24 26 35
2024-03-21	1	3rd	3 4 11 14 18
2024-03-18	1	2nd	2 11 19 38 43
2024-03-14	2	2nd	4 11 22 25 34
2024-03-07	5	1st	11 29 32 34 42
2024-02-19	1	2nd	7 11 12 36 46
2024-02-15	4	2nd	5 11 25 30 42
2024-02-01	17	3rd	3 7 11 23 29
2023-12-04	4	2nd	4 11 16 46 47
2023-11-20	2	3rd	6 9 11 22 46
2023-11-13	1	2nd	3 11 33 38 45
2023-11-09	1	2nd	9 11 27 36 47
2023-11-06	3	3rd	2 5 11 15 27
2023-10-26	1	2nd	2 11 23 43 46
2023-10-23	4	1st	11 30 34 35 38
2023-10-09	6	2nd	6 11 29 40 44
2023-09-18	8	3rd	1 3 11 28 43
2023-08-21	5	1st	11 15 21 33 43
2023-08-03	2	2nd	2 11 17 30 38
2023-07-27	4	2nd	6 11 12 20 29
2023-07-13	6	3rd	7 9 11 39 40
2023-06-22	6	2nd	10 11 31 42 43
2023-06-01	1	1st	11 19 31 34 44
2023-05-29	8	2nd	4 11 14 41 45
2023-05-01	1	1st	11 22 24 37 43
2023-04-27	10	1st	11 18 29 38 44
2023-03-23	50	2nd	2 11 17 26 27
2022-09-29	1	2nd	8 11 16 26 47
2022-09-26	1	1st	11 21 25 28 39
2022-09-22	6	2nd	8 11 36 39 40
2022-09-01	9	1st	11 18 25 34 38
2022-08-01	14	2nd	7 11 19 31 47
2022-06-13	17	3rd	1 7 11 43 47
2022-04-14	1	1st	11 17 28 34 42
2022-04-11	1	2nd	3 11 25 42 47
2022-04-07	13	2nd	8 11 19 31 33
2022-02-21	10	1st	11 13 16 21 46
2022-01-17	21	3rd	4 5 11 27 35
2021-11-04	9	3rd	4 8 11 26 34
2021-10-04	15	1st	11 14 24 33 36
2021-08-12	8	1st	11 18 22 42 43
2021-07-15	14	3rd	7 8 11 27 42
2021-05-27	11	3rd	1 7 11 32 36
2021-04-19	10	3rd	1 10 11 16 46
2021-03-15	1	2nd	9 11 29 39 44
2021-03-11	27	2nd	3 11 20 21 26
2020-12-07	2	2nd	3 11 14 21 44
2020-11-30	7	1st	11 18 20 42 47
2020-11-05	34	2nd	7 11 18 19 22
2020-07-09	2	1st	11 16 26 39 44
2020-07-02	18	1st	11 12 24 29 33
2020-04-30	4	1st	11 37 39 41 46
2020-04-16	3	1st	11 18 20 31 35
2020-04-06	3	1st	11 23 31 39 42
2020-03-26	22	3rd	4 7 11 24 29
2020-01-09	9	2nd	3 11 39 44 46
2019-12-09	1	2nd	3 11 13 34 43
2019-12-05	8	3rd	4 7 11 22 47
2019-11-07	10	1st	11 15 16 21 38
2019-10-03	11	2nd	6 11 32 43 45
2019-08-26	16	1st	11 22 25 32 39
2019-07-01	14	2nd	3 11 21 35 45
2019-05-13	3	2nd	2 11 27 42 47
2019-05-02	3	1st	11 12 15 16 47
2019-04-22	—	1st	11 22 26 33 47