Number 10

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

82times drawn · chance expected 84 −0.25σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 71% for any number

9.4average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

47longest completed wait · 37% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 82 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, −0.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 82 times in 791 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 47 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest34 · chance 33.2
2nd smallest35 · chance 35.1
3rd smallest11 · chance 12.0
4th smallest2 · chance 1.6
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

19 30 36 21 39 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-28	4	2nd	1 10 11 15 47
2026-09-14	9	1st	10 19 21 27 41
2026-08-13	6	3rd	4 5 10 12 36
2026-07-23	7	3rd	2 6 10 18

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-07-04	4	2nd	5 10 14 19 34
2024-06-20	2	1st	10 18 24 27 38
2024-06-13	7	1st	10 16 19 24 38
2024-05-20	2	2nd	9 10 25 32 41
2024-05-13	3	2nd	5 10 19 23 44
2024-05-02	10	2nd	5 10 14 35 45
2024-03-28	9	2nd	5 10 19 26 41
2024-02-26	6	2nd	3 10 21 24 39
2024-02-05	20	4th	3 4 8 10 28
2023-11-27	1	1st	10 12 35 37 47
2023-11-23	40	1st	10 14 19 35 41
2023-07-06	1	2nd	1 10 17 18 42
2023-07-03	3	2nd	9 10 29 30 39
2023-06-22	10	1st	10 11 31 42 43
2023-05-18	7	1st	10 32 36 39 43
2023-04-24	1	3rd	4 8 10 38 43
2023-04-20	18	1st	10 28 29 42 46
2023-02-16	4	2nd	2 10 25 28 30
2023-02-02	3	3rd	5 9 10 25 41
2023-01-23	2	2nd	4 10 13 21 30
2023-01-16	15	1st	10 23 32 36 40
2022-11-24	5	2nd	1 10 14 32 40
2022-11-07	16	1st	10 12 13 21 42
2022-09-12	8	1st	10 13 14 21 46
2022-08-15	2	2nd	8 10 18 21 40
2022-08-08	10	1st	10 15 22 23 41
2022-07-04	5	3rd	5 7 10 21 38
2022-06-16	2	1st	10 17 18 32 39
2022-06-09	25	1st	10 21 23 29 35
2022-03-14	1	3rd	4 5 10 40 44
2022-03-10	46	2nd	7 10 19 27 32
2021-09-30	19	2nd	5 10 20 21 24
2021-07-26	7	2nd	2 10 26 38 45
2021-07-01	13	2nd	7 10 20 33 39
2021-05-17	8	1st	10 17 23 39 41
2021-04-19	7	2nd	1 10 11 16 46
2021-03-25	13	1st	10 13 28 30 38
2021-02-08	14	2nd	4 10 14 17 30
2020-12-21	8	1st	10 13 14 40 43
2020-11-23	11	2nd	3 10 15 29 30
2020-10-15	1	2nd	5 10 12 13 16
2020-10-12	11	3rd	6 9 10 22 30
2020-09-03	1	2nd	8 10 26 31 32
2020-08-31	2	2nd	1 10 26 35 39
2020-08-24	4	1st	10 24 25 41 42
2020-08-10	4	2nd	1 10 14 21 26
2020-07-27	4	2nd	6 10 20 27 36
2020-07-13	47	2nd	4 10 18 19 45
2020-01-30	3	2nd	4 10 33 36 40
2020-01-20	4	2nd	4 10 16 30 36
2020-01-06	3	1st	10 15 16 22 39
2019-12-26	3	1st	10 24 30 32 41
2019-12-16	12	2nd	8 10 16 23 39
2019-11-04	11	1st	10 26 32 43 45
2019-09-26	4	1st	10 19 20 26 42
2019-09-12	24	1st	10 28 33 36 37
2019-06-20	2	2nd	6 10 27 40 45
2019-06-13	—	1st	10 16 28 29 46