Number 38

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

91times drawn · chance expected 84 +0.79σ

12draws waiting · a wait this long: 29% for any number

8.3average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

30longest completed wait · 97% chance of one at least that long

38 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 91 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, +0.79σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 38, draw by draw

Drawn 91 times in 791 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 12 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest1 · chance 1.7
3rd smallest10 · chance 13.4
4th smallest36 · chance 39.0
5th smallest44 · chance 36.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

23 21 7 32 2 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-31	2	4th	4 17 26 38 39
2026-08-24	18	4th	11 19 28 38 43
2026-06-22	10	5th	1 16 32 34 38
2026-05-18	5	5th	3 21 22 28

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-06-20	2	5th	10 18 24 27 38
2024-06-13	3	5th	10 16 19 24 38
2024-06-03	22	5th	2 11 15 19 38
2024-03-18	4	4th	2 11 19 38 43
2024-03-04	3	5th	7 15 25 30 38
2024-02-22	15	5th	16 17 19 23 38
2024-01-01	14	5th	1 20 26 36 38
2023-11-13	6	4th	3 11 33 38 45
2023-10-23	1	5th	11 30 34 35 38
2023-10-19	22	3rd	12 14 38 41 44
2023-08-03	1	5th	2 11 17 30 38
2023-07-31	9	5th	20 29 30 37 38
2023-06-29	18	3rd	18 33 38 39 47
2023-04-27	1	4th	11 18 29 38 44
2023-04-24	15	4th	4 8 10 38 43
2023-03-02	3	3rd	9 26 38 40 43
2023-02-20	21	5th	12 17 22 31 38
2022-12-08	13	4th	1 3 21 38 42
2022-10-24	11	5th	8 15 20 35 38
2022-09-15	4	5th	3 13 20 23 38
2022-09-01	3	5th	11 18 25 34 38
2022-08-22	11	4th	21 28 33 38 47
2022-07-14	3	5th	4 5 14 16 38
2022-07-04	3	5th	5 7 10 21 38
2022-06-23	10	5th	1 6 9 33 38
2022-05-19	3	5th	22 24 27 33 38
2022-05-09	1	5th	6 7 9 31 38
2022-05-05	9	5th	16 23 29 36 38
2022-04-04	1	3rd	7 34 38 44 46
2022-03-31	2	4th	14 23 33 38 39
2022-03-24	5	3rd	34 36 38 41 46
2022-03-07	6	4th	23 29 37 38 46
2022-02-14	6	5th	3 9 14 27 38
2022-01-24	7	5th	14 18 28 29 38
2021-12-30	8	3rd	20 27 38 40 41
2021-12-02	9	4th	3 29 32 38 43
2021-11-01	5	4th	2 22 30 38 42
2021-10-14	6	4th	2 8 24 38 41
2021-09-23	6	3rd	4 27 38 43 45
2021-09-02	11	5th	2 3 16 24 38
2021-07-26	30	4th	2 10 26 38 45
2021-04-12	5	4th	6 26 32 38 44
2021-03-25	10	5th	10 13 28 30 38
2021-02-18	16	4th	7 19 28 38 39
2020-12-24	6	5th	3 13 14 36 38
2020-12-03	2	4th	9 22 25 38 41
2020-11-26	3	4th	2 7 20 38 46
2020-11-16	5	4th	13 17 21 38 39
2020-10-29	1	4th	17 26 27 38 45
2020-10-26	8	5th	17 29 32 33 38
2020-09-28	5	3rd	6 23 38 41 42
2020-09-10	16	4th	6 7 21 38 39
2020-07-16	7	4th	18 29 33 38 43
2020-06-22	6	5th	16 25 28 35 38
2020-06-01	5	5th	4 30 32 34 38
2020-05-14	17	4th	12 15 36 38 41
2020-03-16	2	5th	2 4 15 20 38
2020-03-09	5	5th	4 8 25 37 38
2020-02-20	18	4th	8 19 21 38 42
2019-12-19	6	5th	13 18 26 37 38
2019-11-28	4	5th	17 21 30 32 38
2019-11-14	1	4th	5 6 19 38 47
2019-11-11	1	3rd	23 32 38 40 47
2019-11-07	14	5th	11 15 16 21 38
2019-09-19	4	3rd	21 22 38 39 42
2019-09-05	14	5th	20 23 28 30 38
2019-07-18	—	4th	15 23 25 38 42