Number 5

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

82times drawn · chance expected 84 −0.25σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 51% for any number

9.6average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

45longest completed wait · 44% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 82 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, −0.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 82 times in 791 draws · average wait 9.6 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest55 · chance 56.2
2nd smallest25 · chance 23.1
3rd smallest2 · chance 2.6
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 43 4 14 44 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-17	10	1st	5 9 15 33 43
2026-08-13	2	2nd	4 5 10 12 36
2026-08-06	6	3rd	3 4 5 18 37
2026-07-16	26	1st	5 13 24 33

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-09-05	14	2nd	3 5 23 32 44
2024-07-18	4	1st	5 7 27 38 46
2024-07-04	10	1st	5 10 14 19 34
2024-05-30	5	1st	5 11 12 25 26
2024-05-13	3	1st	5 10 19 23 44
2024-05-02	7	1st	5 10 14 35 45
2024-04-08	3	2nd	3 5 6 36 43
2024-03-28	12	1st	5 10 19 26 41
2024-02-15	22	1st	5 11 25 30 42
2023-11-30	7	1st	5 40 42 43 46
2023-11-06	9	2nd	2 5 11 15 27
2023-10-05	7	1st	5 6 18 39 45
2023-09-11	5	2nd	4 5 14 24 35
2023-08-24	23	1st	5 6 29 30 40
2023-06-05	14	2nd	2 5 21 34 35
2023-04-17	2	1st	5 15 23 26 44
2023-04-10	19	1st	5 23 26 27 43
2023-02-02	11	1st	5 9 10 25 41
2022-12-26	15	2nd	3 5 7 16 21
2022-11-03	1	2nd	2 5 24 29 37
2022-10-31	25	2nd	3 5 13 17 24
2022-08-04	6	1st	5 15 43 44 47
2022-07-14	2	2nd	4 5 14 16 38
2022-07-07	1	2nd	1 5 22 35 39
2022-07-04	19	1st	5 7 10 21 38
2022-04-28	13	1st	5 13 21 42 47
2022-03-14	5	2nd	4 5 10 40 44
2022-02-24	2	1st	5 6 25 31 40
2022-02-17	3	1st	5 15 24 40 43
2022-02-07	6	1st	5 31 34 36 47
2022-01-17	1	2nd	4 5 11 27 35
2022-01-13	30	1st	5 16 17 21 43
2021-09-30	20	1st	5 10 20 21 24
2021-07-22	9	1st	5 14 37 40 43
2021-06-21	9	1st	5 13 20 29 37
2021-05-20	18	2nd	4 5 18 19 27
2021-03-18	12	1st	5 25 43 44 47
2021-02-04	2	2nd	4 5 7 26 39
2021-01-28	13	1st	5 13 20 34 35
2020-12-14	17	1st	5 9 18 34 43
2020-10-15	16	1st	5 10 12 13 16
2020-08-20	8	2nd	4 5 17 27 36
2020-07-23	5	1st	5 21 33 36 40
2020-07-06	7	1st	5 12 17 21 30
2020-06-11	4	1st	5 6 15 22 32
2020-05-28	11	2nd	3 5 13 23 31
2020-04-20	45	2nd	2 5 7 19 42
2019-11-14	5	1st	5 6 19 38 47
2019-10-28	4	1st	5 25 31 34 41
2019-10-14	1	2nd	2 5 15 21 23
2019-10-10	7	2nd	2 5 9 27 37
2019-09-16	7	1st	5 9 16 32 41
2019-08-22	1	1st	5 12 40 43 44
2019-08-19	7	3rd	3 4 5 7 34
2019-07-25	5	1st	5 14 26 33 36
2019-07-08	21	1st	5 15 18 32 36
2019-04-25	4	1st	5 26 28 32 37
2019-04-11	—	1st	5 7 41 44 45