Number 22

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

78times drawn · chance expected 84 −0.71σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 36% for any number

10.0average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

44longest completed wait · 46% chance of one at least that long

22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 78 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, −0.71σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 78 times in 791 draws · average wait 10.0 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 6.0
2nd smallest24 · chance 23.1
3rd smallest29 · chance 30.1
4th smallest20 · chance 15.9
5th smallest1 · chance 2.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 18 25 42 11 16

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-07	1	3rd	4 18 22 24 42
2026-09-03	18	3rd	16 17 22 42 47
2026-07-02	13	2nd	16 22 23 25 30
2026-05-18	22	3rd	3 21 22 28

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-10-03	9	1st	22 33 34 35 43
2024-09-02	22	4th	3 9 21 22 31
2024-06-17	14	2nd	6 22 23 36 41
2024-04-29	4	3rd	6 18 22 29 40
2024-04-15	9	4th	1 3 21 22 27
2024-03-14	16	3rd	4 11 22 25 34
2024-01-18	17	3rd	9 15 22 40 44
2023-11-20	44	4th	6 9 11 22 46
2023-06-19	11	4th	7 19 21 22 41
2023-05-11	3	3rd	16 19 22 31 45
2023-05-01	20	2nd	11 22 24 37 43
2023-02-20	4	3rd	12 17 22 31 38
2023-02-06	2	3rd	14 18 22 32 44
2023-01-30	21	4th	15 16 19 22 25
2022-11-17	29	3rd	13 21 22 25 37
2022-08-08	9	3rd	10 15 22 23 41
2022-07-07	2	3rd	1 5 22 35 39
2022-06-30	12	2nd	18 22 29 42 44
2022-05-19	30	1st	22 24 27 33 38
2022-02-03	4	3rd	6 16 22 44 47
2022-01-20	5	2nd	7 22 24 25 40
2022-01-03	3	2nd	15 22 26 37 47
2021-12-23	5	2nd	19 22 33 42 44
2021-12-06	10	4th	16 18 21 22 45
2021-11-01	4	2nd	2 22 30 38 42
2021-10-18	19	3rd	4 7 22 34 44
2021-08-12	11	3rd	11 18 22 42 43
2021-07-05	2	2nd	17 22 36 40 41
2021-06-28	5	4th	1 9 15 22 34
2021-06-10	11	3rd	1 18 22 36 37
2021-05-03	22	4th	1 8 12 22 32
2021-02-15	8	1st	22 23 25 32 44
2021-01-18	6	2nd	13 22 34 35 46
2020-12-28	3	3rd	2 4 22 37 45
2020-12-17	4	2nd	12 22 25 37 39
2020-12-03	6	2nd	9 22 25 38 41
2020-11-12	2	4th	2 12 20 22 26
2020-11-05	7	5th	7 11 18 19 22
2020-10-12	5	4th	6 9 10 22 30
2020-09-24	3	4th	3 8 17 22 36
2020-09-14	11	3rd	12 19 22 25 42
2020-08-06	16	2nd	2 22 36 42 43
2020-06-11	1	4th	5 6 15 22 32
2020-06-08	30	4th	3 12 16 22 47
2020-02-24	14	3rd	1 19 22 35 40
2020-01-06	9	4th	10 15 16 22 39
2019-12-05	1	4th	4 7 11 22 47
2019-12-02	2	3rd	8 20 22 33 34
2019-11-25	19	4th	2 7 17 22 26
2019-09-19	6	2nd	21 22 38 39 42
2019-08-29	1	2nd	2 22 26 30 42
2019-08-26	5	2nd	11 22 25 32 39
2019-08-08	31	2nd	13 22 26 39 40
2019-04-22	—	2nd	11 22 26 33 47