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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Thursday, 19 October 2023

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 14
  3. 38
  4. 41
  5. 44
  6. 5

Jackpot£3,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019draw 480 of 791 under them

← 2023-10-16All recent draws2023-10-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 14 38 41 44 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

1241times
1442times
3857times
4140times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-19

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.6Mto 157k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball77%£3.6M
  • Match 34.0%£184.2K
  • Match 214%£655.5K
  • 4 other tiers4.4%£206.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

544times

Every number was expected about that many times after 479 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 38, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 May 2020 — its closest relative in 479 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,600,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.1 by chance£120,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22≈ 27 by chance£250
  • Match 4198≈ 240 by chance£50.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,090≈ 1.1k by chance£30.00
  • Match 39,209≈ 9.8k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,791≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 2131,091≈ 131k by chance£5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 15,791 winners, 8% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2131,091£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,791£10.00
    Match 39,209£20.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,090£30.00
    Match 4198£50.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22£250
    Match 50£120,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£3,600,000