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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Monday, 11 September 2023

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 14
  4. 24
  5. 35
  6. 3

Jackpot£3,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019draw 469 of 792 under them

← 2023-09-07All recent draws2023-09-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 14 24 35 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

452times
545times
1440times
2444times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-11

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.9Mto 173k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball74%£3.6M
  • Match 34.4%£216.0K
  • Match 215%£724.4K
  • 5 other tiers6.9%£338.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

356times

Every number was expected about that many times after 468 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 5, 14) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 July 2022 — its closest relative in 468 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,600,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance£120,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28≈ 29 by chance£250
  • Match 4249≈ 265 by chance£50.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,188≈ 1.2k by chance£30.00
  • Match 310,799≈ 11k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,310≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 2144,885≈ 145k by chance£5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,188 winners, 2% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2144,885£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,310£10.00
    Match 310,799£20.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,188£30.00
    Match 4249£50.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28£250
    Match 51£120,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£3,600,000