Number 46

In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 791 draws, 5 from 1–47.

69times drawn · chance expected 84 −1.75σ

18draws waiting · a wait this long: 15% for any number

11.3average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

68longest completed wait · 4% chance of one at least that long

46 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 69 times in 791 draws against 84.1 expected, −1.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 46, draw by draw

Drawn 69 times in 791 draws · average wait 11.3 draws · longest completed wait 68 · waiting 18 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 46 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest6 · chance 6.0
5th smallest63 · chance 63.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

42 16 27 29 43 1

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 46 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 46 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-10	8	5th	1 14 30 34 46
2026-07-13	1	5th	1 19 40 43 46
2026-07-09	10	4th	7 35 40 46 47
2026-06-04	9	5th	4 8 26 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 46 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-11-30	3	5th	5 40 42 43 46
2023-11-20	5	5th	6 9 11 22 46
2023-11-02	2	5th	12 20 41 42 46
2023-10-26	4	5th	2 11 23 43 46
2023-10-12	19	5th	9 19 41 44 46
2023-08-07	15	5th	1 4 9 40 46
2023-06-15	7	5th	3 13 35 37 46
2023-05-22	9	5th	17 26 33 44 46
2023-04-20	4	5th	10 28 29 42 46
2023-04-06	8	5th	16 21 41 43 46
2023-03-09	3	5th	9 16 27 39 46
2023-02-27	21	5th	23 28 34 45 46
2022-12-15	17	5th	6 9 12 30 46
2022-10-17	1	5th	19 25 32 33 46
2022-10-13	9	5th	6 15 34 42 46
2022-09-12	31	5th	10 13 14 21 46
2022-05-26	7	5th	2 3 34 39 46
2022-05-02	3	5th	3 27 31 44 46
2022-04-21	5	5th	6 25 30 36 46
2022-04-04	2	5th	7 34 38 44 46
2022-03-28	1	5th	29 32 42 44 46
2022-03-24	5	5th	34 36 38 41 46
2022-03-07	4	5th	23 29 37 38 46
2022-02-21	18	5th	11 13 16 21 46
2021-12-20	36	4th	24 27 40 46 47
2021-08-16	8	5th	8 13 19 31 46
2021-07-19	21	5th	8 9 36 44 46
2021-05-06	5	5th	2 7 25 40 46
2021-04-19	1	5th	1 10 11 16 46
2021-04-15	25	5th	2 17 24 26 46
2021-01-18	4	5th	13 22 34 35 46
2021-01-04	11	5th	19 29 35 42 46
2020-11-26	54	5th	2 7 20 38 46
2020-05-21	6	5th	3 4 19 45 46
2020-04-30	2	5th	11 37 39 41 46
2020-04-23	6	5th	2 6 25 32 46
2020-04-02	8	5th	8 9 17 35 46
2020-03-05	7	5th	16 24 29 31 46
2020-02-10	9	5th	1 19 25 43 46
2020-01-09	24	5th	3 11 39 44 46
2019-10-17	36	5th	8 14 18 29 46
2019-06-13	3	5th	10 16 28 29 46
2019-06-03	14	5th	1 9 20 24 46
2019-04-15	7	4th	7 15 32 46 47
2019-03-21	—	5th	2 3 4 25 46