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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 20 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, +1.63σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 20 times in 107 draws · average wait 4.2 draws · longest completed wait 13 · waiting 13 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 7 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 7 is picked about 1.54× as often as an indifferent choice — 1st most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | 3 | 3rd | 267414245 |
| 2026-06-21 | 11 | 1st | 71718304345 |
| 2026-04-05 | 11 | 2nd | 57891213 |
| 2026-01-18 | 2 | 2nd | 378111737 |
| 2026-01-04 | 3 | 3rd | 15791438 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2 | 2nd | 179202438 |
| 2025-11-30 | 6 | 2nd | 3713273233 |
| 2025-10-19 | 13 | 2nd | 5717293637 |
| 2025-07-20 | 2 | 2nd | 1716233545 |
| 2025-07-06 | 3 | 1st | 71113152631 |
| 2025-06-15 | 4 | 1st | 71223373942 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1 | 2nd | 2712153743 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1 | 1st | 71012212339 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1 | 4th | 12371015 |
| 2025-04-27 | 3 | 1st | 7913192241 |
| 2025-04-06 | 8 | 2nd | 5717234044 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1 | 2nd | 6712222637 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1 | 2nd | 5710243438 |
| 2025-01-26 | 3 | 3rd | 127112023 |
| 2025-01-05 | — | 2nd | 47892630 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 7 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.