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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 10 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −1.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 3 times, counted separately.
Drawn 10 times in 107 draws · average wait 10.1 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 12 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 44 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 44 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 44 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 44 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-10-26 |
| 3 |
| 6th |
| 112628303444 |
| 2025-10-05 | 14 | 6th | 91121353644 |
| 2025-06-29 | 4 | 6th | 21023244044 |
| 2025-06-01 | 8 | 6th | 131526273344 |
| 2025-04-06 | 15 | 6th | 5717234044 |
| 2024-12-22 | 9 | 5th | 101732404445 |
| 2024-10-20 | — | 6th | 212232363744 |