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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 11 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.93σ. Each draw is independent: after 20 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 11 times in 107 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 20 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 4 |
| 4th |
| 61719222733 |
| 2025-08-31 | 18 | 3rd | 2622262933 |
| 2025-04-27 | 7 | 5th | 7913192241 |
| 2025-03-09 | 4 | 5th | 568202240 |
| 2025-02-09 | 9 | 4th | 6712222637 |
| 2024-12-08 | 6 | 5th | 41116202227 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1 | 4th | 51315222334 |
| 2024-10-20 | — | 2nd | 212232363744 |