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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 12 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.64σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 12 times in 107 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 24 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 8 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 24 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 24 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 24 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 4 |
| 5th |
| 4614222433 |
| 2025-12-14 | 16 | 5th | 179202438 |
| 2025-08-24 | 4 | 4th | 11921243438 |
| 2025-07-27 | 4 | 3rd | 11624264143 |
| 2025-06-29 | 19 | 4th | 21023244044 |
| 2025-02-16 | 2 | 3rd | 121924252627 |
| 2025-02-02 | 10 | 4th | 5710243438 |
| 2024-11-24 | 6 | 3rd | 91624293042 |
| 2024-10-13 | — | 4th | 3515243032 |