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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 20 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, +1.63σ. Each draw is independent: after 19 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 20 times in 107 draws · average wait 4.5 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 19 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 1 | 2nd | 1510192330 |
| 2026-05-24 | 3 | 1st | 5810172238 |
| 2026-05-03 | 4 | 2nd | 25691531 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1 | 1st | 57891213 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2 | 1st | 5612182631 |
| 2026-03-15 | 3 | 3rd | 14591114 |
| 2026-02-22 | 7 | 2nd | 158142738 |
| 2026-01-04 | 4 | 2nd | 15791438 |
| 2025-12-07 | 7 | 1st | 51012194145 |
| 2025-10-19 | 26 | 1st | 5717293637 |
| 2025-04-20 | 2 | 2nd | 156102530 |
| 2025-04-06 | 3 | 1st | 5717234044 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1 | 2nd | 4514192831 |
| 2025-03-09 | 5 | 1st | 568202240 |
| 2025-02-02 | 5 | 1st | 5710243438 |
| 2024-12-29 | 2 | 2nd | 4511133440 |
| 2024-12-15 | 6 | 1st | 5814283239 |
| 2024-11-03 | 1 | 1st | 51012131620 |
| 2024-10-27 | 2 | 1st | 51315222334 |
| 2024-10-13 | — | 2nd | 3515243032 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.