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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 12 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.64σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 12 times in 107 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 11 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 45 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 45 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 45 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 45 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 1 |
| 6th |
| 81730353645 |
| 2026-04-12 | 6 | 6th | 141825273045 |
| 2026-03-01 | 3 | 6th | 1928303445 |
| 2026-02-08 | 2 | 6th | 11015234445 |
| 2026-01-25 | 7 | 6th | 101215233345 |
| 2025-12-07 | 16 | 6th | 51012194145 |
| 2025-08-17 | 4 | 6th | 121528354245 |
| 2025-07-20 | 30 | 6th | 1716233545 |
| 2024-12-22 | — | 6th | 101732404445 |