Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 10 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −1.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 10 times in 107 draws · average wait 10.9 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 29 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 29 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 29 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 29 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 1 |
| 4th |
| 5717293637 |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | 3rd | 142629323842 |
| 2025-08-31 | 7 | 5th | 2622262933 |
| 2025-07-13 | 19 | 4th | 31027293040 |
| 2025-03-02 | 14 | 5th | 131415272932 |
| 2024-11-24 | 2 | 4th | 91624293042 |
| 2024-11-10 | — | 4th | 4921293438 |