Number 38

In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.

14times drawn · chance expected 14 −0.08σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 28% for any number

6.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5

13longest completed wait · 92% chance of one at least that long

38 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 14 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.

Number 38, draw by draw

Drawn 14 times in 107 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 13 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.3
4th smallest2 · chance 2.1
5th smallest2 · chance 6.0
6th smallest10 · chance 5.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 14 5 9 34 7

Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-02	1	4th	1 4 19 38 41 43
2026-07-26	1	5th	2 12 14 15 38 45
2026-07-19	8	4th	12 23 37 38 39 44

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.