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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 14 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 26 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.
Drawn 14 times in 107 draws · average wait 5.4 draws · longest completed wait 13 · waiting 26 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 27 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 27 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 27 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | 7 | 4th | 141825273045 |
| 2026-02-22 | 3 | 5th | 158142738 |
| 2026-02-01 | 9 | 4th | 11120273136 |
| 2025-11-30 | 2 | 4th | 3713273233 |
| 2025-11-16 | 2 | 5th | 121416212730 |
| 2025-11-02 | 5 | 5th | 269182743 |
| 2025-09-28 | 8 | 5th | 61719222733 |
| 2025-08-03 | 3 | 5th | 91314252735 |
| 2025-07-13 | 6 | 3rd | 31027293040 |
| 2025-06-01 | 13 | 4th | 131526273344 |
| 2025-03-02 | 2 | 4th | 131415272932 |
| 2025-02-16 | 4 | 6th | 121924252627 |
| 2025-01-19 | 6 | 4th | 41825272835 |
| 2024-12-08 | — | 6th | 41116202227 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 27 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.