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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 15 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, +0.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 15 times in 107 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 8 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2 |
| 1st |
| 81730353645 |
| 2026-04-05 | 6 | 3rd | 57891213 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1 | 3rd | 158142738 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4 | 1st | 81921252639 |
| 2026-01-18 | 19 | 3rd | 378111737 |
| 2025-09-07 | 26 | 2nd | 2811323337 |
| 2025-03-09 | 2 | 3rd | 568202240 |
| 2025-02-23 | 7 | 3rd | 16891439 |
| 2025-01-05 | 3 | 3rd | 47892630 |
| 2024-12-15 | 4 | 2nd | 5814283239 |
| 2024-11-17 | 6 | 3rd | 238123237 |
| 2024-10-06 | — | 3rd | 12891136 |