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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 32 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 32 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 32 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 32 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 6 |
| 5th |
| 11421233237 |
| 2025-10-12 | 3 | 4th | 142629323842 |
| 2025-09-21 | 2 | 6th | 11213151632 |
| 2025-09-07 | 27 | 4th | 2811323337 |
| 2025-03-02 | 10 | 6th | 131415272932 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1 | 3rd | 101732404445 |
| 2024-12-15 | 4 | 5th | 5814283239 |
| 2024-11-17 | 4 | 5th | 238123237 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1 | 3rd | 212232363744 |
| 2024-10-13 | — | 6th | 3515243032 |