Number 21

In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.

13times drawn · chance expected 14 −0.36σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

8.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5

26longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long

21 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 13 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 8 times, counted separately.

Number 21, draw by draw

Drawn 13 times in 107 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 26 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.5
2nd smallest0 · chance 2.5
3rd smallest5 · chance 4.6
4th smallest2 · chance 3.8
5th smallest4 · chance 1.4
6th smallest1 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

14 1 9 19 4 12

Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-11	9	5th	1 9 15 19 21 35
2026-08-09	13	5th	3 6 14 17 21 26
2026-05-10	7	6th	12 13 14 19 20 21

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.