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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 17 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 19 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 8 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 19 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 19 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 19 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 3 |
| 4th |
| 1510192330 |
| 2026-05-10 | 12 | 4th | 121314192021 |
| 2026-02-15 | 10 | 2nd | 81921252639 |
| 2025-12-07 | 10 | 4th | 51012194145 |
| 2025-09-28 | 5 | 3rd | 61719222733 |
| 2025-08-24 | 17 | 2nd | 11921243438 |
| 2025-04-27 | 5 | 4th | 7913192241 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1 | 3rd | 1219313334 |
| 2025-03-16 | 4 | 4th | 4514192831 |
| 2025-02-16 | — | 2nd | 121924252627 |