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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 11 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.93σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 5 times, counted separately.
Drawn 11 times in 107 draws · average wait 9.3 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 39 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 39 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 39 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 10 | 6th | 111619293139 |
| 2026-07-19 | 2 | 5th | 122337383944 |
| 2026-07-05 | 10 | 5th | 1220323943 |
| 2026-04-26 | 10 | 6th | 3926293139 |
| 2026-02-15 | 27 | 6th | 81921252639 |
| 2025-08-10 | 8 | 4th | 111318394041 |
| 2025-06-15 | 5 | 5th | 71223373942 |
| 2025-05-11 | 11 | 6th | 71012212339 |
| 2025-02-23 | 6 | 6th | 16891439 |
| 2025-01-12 | 4 | 6th | 91113263139 |
| 2024-12-15 | — | 6th | 5814283239 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 39 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.