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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-05-10 |
| 14 |
| 5th |
| 121314192021 |
| 2026-02-01 | 7 | 3rd | 11120273136 |
| 2025-12-14 | 13 | 4th | 179202438 |
| 2025-09-14 | 16 | 3rd | 41020303137 |
| 2025-05-25 | 6 | 4th | 3913203638 |
| 2025-04-13 | 5 | 3rd | 11620343538 |
| 2025-03-09 | 6 | 4th | 568202240 |
| 2025-01-26 | 7 | 5th | 127112023 |
| 2024-12-08 | 5 | 4th | 41116202227 |
| 2024-11-03 | — | 6th | 51012131620 |